Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.149238 1.298246 1.461004 1.652259 1.871207 2.114444 2.405711
2025-12-21 0.895539 1.085683 1.309906 1.594903 1.949034 2.376557 2.934750
2025-12-28 0.778287 0.999982 1.278523 1.656647 2.160346 2.813486 3.733067
2026-01-04 0.687038 0.926725 1.244369 1.700399 2.345302 3.235103 4.573844
2026-01-11 0.615185 0.865242 1.212255 1.735370 2.515102 3.651935 5.467405
2026-01-18 0.554340 0.808743 1.176381 1.755091 2.659201 4.044533 6.380189
2026-01-25 0.493021 0.742605 1.116286 1.727360 2.722684 4.317056 7.139995
2026-02-01 0.431485 0.668228 1.033822 1.652038 2.696830 4.437976 7.659277
2026-02-08 0.386019 0.613470 0.975005 1.605884 2.709846 4.620033 8.305848
2026-02-15 0.349480 0.568926 0.927265 1.571289 2.735885 4.824128 9.018764
2026-02-22 0.333293 0.556106 0.930149 1.623180 2.919840 5.333024 10.389549
2026-03-01 0.313322 0.534640 0.915676 1.641665 3.043360 5.743636 11.629527
2026-03-08 0.287165 0.500938 0.878264 1.617367 3.089761 6.025995 12.686109
2026-03-15 0.260647 0.464145 0.831813 1.571004 3.087810 6.213649 13.579132
2026-03-22 0.251628 0.458481 0.842062 1.636103 3.320715 6.924057 15.791917
2026-03-29 0.240791 0.448243 0.842435 1.681203 3.517800 7.588026 18.031502
2026-04-05 0.229760 0.436480 0.838479 1.716599 3.698435 8.243195 20.385896
2026-04-12 0.218051 0.422200 0.827938 1.736461 3.846649 8.846080 22.733135
2026-04-19 0.202795 0.399338 0.797576 1.709210 3.881738 9.181955 24.431730
2026-04-26 0.184668 0.368973 0.748710 1.634815 3.794326 9.199706 25.241312
2026-05-03 0.170774 0.346280 0.714071 1.589213 3.771368 9.379110 26.561589
2026-05-10 0.159073 0.327263 0.685652 1.555022 3.772519 9.622386 28.129308
2026-05-17 0.155060 0.324481 0.692656 1.606331 4.000371 10.516213 31.935482